GDP: latest evidence and sources
Latest ONS monthly estimate
UK GDP grew in May 2026 by 0.1%.
Across the latest three months, real GDP grew by 0.7%.
Published 16 July 2026. Monthly GDP is an early estimate and can be revised.
What changed?
Monthly movement and the broader three-month signal
- Latest month
- +0.1%
- Real GDP in May 2026.
- Latest three months
- +0.7%
- A less volatile view than one monthly estimate.
- Change from a year earlier
- +1.3%
- Real GDP compared with the same month one year earlier.
UK real GDP: ten-year direction
Monthly chained-volume index from the ONS. A straight line joins exact monthly observations; it is not a forecast.
June 2016 to May 2026
Latest published values for May 2026: Real GDP index: 103.2
GDP growth rates
Monthly, three-month-on-three-month and annual growth are shown on the same percentage scale. The monthly line is naturally more volatile.
June 2016 to May 2026
Latest published values for May 2026: Monthly: +0.1%; Latest three months: +0.7%; From a year earlier: +1.3%
Why it matters
Monthly GDP is an early signal of economic momentum. The three-month comparison is usually the steadier guide because a single monthly estimate can be volatile and revised.
Explain this number
Definition
Real gross domestic product, seasonally adjusted.
Unit and geography
Percentage change · United Kingdom
How to interpret it
The monthly figure compares output with the previous month; the three-month figure compares the latest three months with the preceding three months.
Important caveat
Monthly GDP is an early estimate and is revised as fuller source data become available.
Source and date
ONS monthly GDP bulletin · Published 16 July 2026 · observation period May 2026
Forecast and comparison tables withdrawn
The previous panel mixed ONS observations with an OBR forecast, IMF G7 estimates and structural sector values using different periods and bases. They remain unavailable until each can be reproduced from a named source and matching period.